Geographies and Correlates of Inconsistency in Spousal Reporting of First Union Formation

  • INED Mondays

09-28-2026 11h30-12h30

In salle Sauvy and on  Zoom (Link below)

Presented in English by Emmanuel Olamijuwon, discussed by Valérie Golaz and moderated by Valentine Becquet.

Accurate reporting of the timing of marriage is crucial for  interventions that address the consequences of marital status for the  health outcomes of women and families. Yet the reporting of the onset of  marriage may be shaped by structural  factors, including those that stigmatise unmarried women and single  mothers, as well as by differences in recall, calendar familiarity, and  data quality. Using data from 303,244 couples sampled in the Demographic  and Health Surveys (DHS) conducted across 55  countries, I investigate the magnitude of inconsistent reporting of the  year of first marriage by comparing the years independently reported by  women and their husbands. I also examine how such inconsistency  intersects with socio-demographically relevant characteristics.  Beyond documenting these patterns, I develop and validate a  machine-learning framework that harmonises discordant spousal reports  into a single, more reliable estimate of the year of first marriage.
 

Emmanuel Olamijuwon is a Lecturer in Social and Health Data Science at the University of St Andrews, where his research applies computational social science approaches, including machine learning, to questions at the intersection of population health, social inequalities, and technology adoption. He chairs the Scientific Panel on Data and AI of the Union for African Population Studies and leads the DiCAIDS Lab at St Andrews.